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Thursday 16 April 2020

Covid-19 Blog Series #4


What comes next?


Australia’s mortality rate for Covid-19 remains very low, although it’s getting closer to the expected figure of around 1.5%. Currently, based on Department of Health figures, it’s just under 1% but has been growing recently [1]. We can expect this growth as the peak of infections about 3 weeks ago will be resulting in deaths now.

Tuesday 14 April 2020

Covid-19 Blog Series #3

Update 3 - Some Correspondence


My third update on the Covid-19 Pandemic was originally intended to be either a screed on the economic ramifications of the pandemic or a discussion of the testing protocols.

Sunday 5 April 2020

Covid-19 Blog Series #2


And it begins

Late in the day of 29th December 2019, Dr Li Wenliang, an ophthalmologist at Wuhan Central Hospital, became worried enough about the increasing number of pneumonia cases at the hospital, that he took to WeChat, a social media and messaging platform. In a group chat with some former University colleagues, he shared information about the cases and the fact that the cause had been identified as a “SARS like” virus.

Thursday 2 April 2020

Covid-19 Blog Series #1


How Many People are Dying from Covid-19?

Spoiler Alert: Nobody knows.

There is, right at the moment, a proliferation of data freely available that would usually be hidden behind a paywall. Most of this is data held by some of the world’s great medical journals such as Lancet and The New England Journal of Medicine and as a result of the Covid-19 pandemic, most journals and other databases have taken down their paywalls and made data freely available.